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East Asia

China sees slowest growth in more than a year as property woes drag

China sees slowest growth in more than a year as property woes drag

People cross a road in the central business district in Beijing on Aug 7, 2024. (File photo: AFP/Greg Baker)

BEIJING: China posted its slowest growth in a year and a half on Friday (Oct 18), as Beijing struggles to steady an economy shaken by sluggish spending and persistent property sector woes.

Officials have in recent weeks unveiled a string of measures to reignite the world's number-two economy, with an eye to achieving 5 per cent annual growth.

But after a blistering market rally fuelled by hopes for a long-awaited "bazooka stimulus", optimism has tapered as authorities refrained from providing a specific figure for the bailout or detailing any of the pledges.

On Friday, Beijing's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said the economy expanded 4.6 per cent year on year in the third quarter, down from 4.7 per cent in the previous three months and the slowest since early 2023, when China was emerging from its strict zero-Covid policy.

Still, it was slightly better than the 4.5 per cent predicted by analysts surveyed by AFP.

Ahead of the figures, state media said the country's top banks had cut interest rates on yuan deposits for the second time this year.

Beijing has said it has "full confidence" in achieving its annual growth goal, but economists say more direct fiscal stimulus is needed to revive activity and restore business confidence.

Recent weeks have seen authorities unveil a raft of measures to funnel cash into the economy including a string of rate cuts and loosened restrictions on home-buying.

But investors are clamouring for more specifics on how Beijing will shift its economy towards a consumption-driven model that can sustain long-term growth.

"MORE NOISE"

A major headache has been a prolonged crisis in the property sector, which has long been a key driver of growth but is now mired in debt.

On Thursday, officials said they would boost credit available for unfinished housing projects to more than US$500 billion.

Authorities also promised to facilitate the renovation of a million homes, a move intended to boost activity in the property sector.

But as with a slew of much-touted briefings in the past week, Thursday's news conference failed to impress with its lack of big-ticket financial pledges.

Beijing is "trying to talk the talk, with more noise about stabilising the property market", Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, said in a note.

"As the briefing rolled on, it was clear: traders were not thrilled," he said.

"Let's be honest, though – China's property mess isn't something that can be patched up with a few speeches and half-baked measures," Innes added.

A number of major cities have in recent months eased house-buying restrictions – this week in Chengdu, the capital of southwestern province of Sichuan and the northern port city of Tianjin.

China's economic growth is also being hindered by sluggish domestic spending, with consumer wariness threatening to plunge the country into deflation.

The September consumer price index – a key measure of inflation – missed expectations, speaking to continued lacklustre demand.

Source: AFP/lh

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